Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 01:33 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose4:40:00 100%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+12.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet15. März 26, 04:36 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:26 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h34m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h33mXXs)
Manifold MarketsWill the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)
Manifold MarketsAI vs Humanity: First to Sub 2h All Achievements Minecraft speedrun?
Manifold MarketsWho will be first to perform a perfect Super Mario Bros. 1 speedrun?
Manifold MarketsWho will win DEATH BATTLE: Naruto vs Luffy? (Naruto vs One Piece)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- The world record time will be determined by the official Speedrun.com leaderboard for Hollow Knight: Silksong, the 100% speedrun category time (in minutes and seconds) as listed on the leaderboard, No Major Glitches.
- This market will consider the Load Removed Time to be the 'true' speedrun time.
- The market resolves YES for each option when a run is shown on that leaderboard with a time LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO.
- (A run of 4:38:50 resolves 4:40 as YES but does not resolve 4:35) At 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026, each remaining entry resolves NO.
- A run that has been submitted but is not shown on the Speedrun.com leaderboard at 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026 will not count.
