Aktuelle Community-Prognose
National 53%+8.0pt
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet18. Okt. 26, 08:32 UTC19. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketWill Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour and National combined receive 60.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsSerbia Election: Student List Vote Share?
PolymarketRegeln
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list.
- This market will resolve to “Labour” if the Labour Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve to “National” if the National Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the Labour Party in this election.
- Percentages of valid party list votes received by the Labour Party and the National Party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid party list votes each party receives by the sum of all valid party list votes cast in the election.
- This market includes party list votes cast by both the general electorate and the Māori electorate.
