Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 23:58 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNone of these listed before Dec 31st 2026 94.6%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+1.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet8. Dez. 25, 16:26 UTC8. Dez. 26, 16:21 UTC
Trends
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Which of these companies will be the first to announce a formal event constituting default (a formal restructuring process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code (or equivalent bankruptcy/restructuring filing in its primary jurisdiction) OR has entered technical default on its debt obligations (missed interest/principal payment, covenant breach triggering acceleration, or cross-default) as publicly announced by the company or its creditors
