Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseHappens in September 99%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+35.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 22:36 UTC12. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/9?
Manifold MarketsF1 2026 Prop Bets Spanish (Madrid, Madring) 🇪🇸 Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film?
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice prop market that resolves based on the events of the next official General Nintendo Direct broadcast following the June 9, 2026 presentation.
- Each added option will resolve to YES or NO based on the following criteria:
- Qualifying Presentation: The presentation must be officially titled simply as a "Nintendo Direct" (e.g., "Nintendo Direct - September 2026").
- Presentations explicitly excluded from resolving this market include "Partner Showcase", "Indie World", "Super Nintendo World" or "Museum" tours, and game-specific showcases (such as "Pokémon Presents" or dedicated single-game Directs).
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official stream and video archive published on the official Nintendo YouTube Channel.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Happens in September mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) entschieden?
- Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) soll am 12. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria