KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 80%
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1285,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
30. Dez. 25, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?
KalshiMarvel megamarket
Manifold MarketsWill Kraven be added to Marvel Rivals by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any Phase Five or Six Marvel movie have a budget under $150 million?
Manifold MarketsMarvel: Actor cast as Miles Morales
KalshiMarvel's Wolverine: Metacritic score
KalshiRegeln
If Jordan Peele is chosen to be the director of a Marvel Film the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Hollywood ReporterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Jordan Peele must officially be announced as the director after Dec 30, 2025 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film? entschieden?
- Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Jordan Peele is chosen to be the director of a Marvel Film the market resolves to Yes.