KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 65%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
99,6 €
Liquidität
8173,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
35.0% / 68.0%
Spread
33.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
3. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Robert Downey Jr. appear in Avengers: Secret Wars?
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film?
KalshiMarvel megamarket
Manifold MarketsWill Kraven be added to Marvel Rivals by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026?
PolymarketMarvel: Actor cast as Miles Morales
KalshiRegeln
If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Variety
- Archival footage does not count.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? entschieden?
- Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.