Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (99%)
Entschieden: 10.08.2026, 04:18
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 99%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen
Veraltet23. Dez. 25, 18:5710. Aug. 26, 4:18
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Regeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Labour makes an official public statement ruling out forming a coalition government with New Zealand First for the 2026 election.
- This includes statements from Labour leadership (party leader, deputy leader, or official party spokesperson) explicitly stating they will not work with NZ First in coalition negotiations after the election.
- The market resolves NO if Labour does not make such a statement, or if Labour indicates openness to working with NZ First (including conditional openness or refusal to rule them out).
- Resolution will be determined by statements made prior to the 2026 election, scheduled for no later than 19 December 2026.
- Labour previously formed a minority coalition government with New Zealand First in 2017, with confidence and supply from the Green Party.
