Manifold MarketsKein KYCAktuelle Community-PrognoseGemini 3.x Pro 82%+32.0%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet30. Juni 26, 18:3631. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Gemini 3.x Pro82%
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
495.437,1 €Anthropic: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
GPT-5.6 released by...?
131.608,9 €July 31: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released on...?
50.951 €July 7: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 Sol vs Claude Fable 5, which will be broadly available first?
12.892,4 €GPT-5.6 Sol: 3.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Claude Fable 5 be re-enabled for Non-Americans before July 1st, 2026?
10.456,3 €Ja: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6157,5 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during July 2026.
- A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
- Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
- Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
- When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
- Please ask for clarifications.