Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83%
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Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet10. März 24, 00:19 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many justices will Trump appoint to SCOTUS?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsIf Robert F Kennedy Jr serves under Trump, will he get fired or forced to resign within 2 years?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.
- Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
- If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements.
- See here for the market on if Biden wins:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)