If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
PolitikOne-OffWahlSportKriminalität & JustizUS-PolitikSchach21T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66.1%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
21. März 26, 17:34 UTC21. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori
Manifold MarketsWhich party will finish third place in the 2026 NZ General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market and will resolve NA if Labour does not win the 2026 NZ general election.
- This market resolves YES if, following the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November 2026, Labour forms a government and requires the support of Te Pāti Māori to command a majority in Parliament.
- This includes scenarios where Te Pāti Māori is part of a formal coalition government or provides confidence and supply support.
- The market resolves NO if Labour wins the election but can form a government without Te Pāti Māori support (e.g., with only the Greens, or with sufficient seats to govern alone or with other parties).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General regarding government formation and any published coalition agreements.
