Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 56%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet10. Feb. 26, 01:46 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiNH-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 56% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? entschieden?
- If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.