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Daten vom 31.10.2026, 07:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 74.5%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet7. Okt. 26, 02:53 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
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Condition: the Republican Party's 2028 presidential nominee wins the 2028 presidential election, as determined by Congress's count of electoral votes in January 2029 (or, if no one has a majority, the House's choice).
- If anyone else wins, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Coinbase's BTC-USD price at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2031 (the daily close for December 31, 2030) is above $250,000.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks the 2028 presidential winner changes.
