Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBenjamin Netanyahu (halikood) 61.6%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+44.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet27. Okt. 26, 19:31 UTC3. Nov. 26, 19:26 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market is configured as a binary (Yes/No) question, but does not name a specific party, candidate, or threshold (e.g., whether Likud wins the most seats, or whether Benjamin Netanyahu forms the next government).
- By default, this market will resolve according to the candidate or condition explicitly designated by the market creator.
- If left unspecified:
- YES: The incumbent prime minister's party (Likud) wins the plurality of seats in the Knesset elected on October 27, 2026, according to the official results certified by the Central Elections Committee (CEC).
- NO: Any other political party wins a plurality of seats, or there is an exact tie for the largest share of seats.
