Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Resigns (99%)
Entschieden: 03.08.2026, 18:19
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseResigns 99%+1.0ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
67
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Tagen
Veraltet19. Jan. 26, 4:383. Aug. 26, 18:19
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Loses general election1.5%
Loses Labour leadership challenge0.4%
Resigns99%
Other1.2%
99%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
Regeln
Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.
- “Resigns” captures scenarios where Starmer voluntarily ceases to be PM without legal obligation, even if there is strong pressure (eg resignation following a non-binding no confidence vote or in the middle of a leadership challenge both count for “resigns”).
- It also includes resignation for personal reasons like health.
- “Other” captures any scenario not listed, including death, incapacitation, criminal disqualification or expulsion by the monarch.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How will Keir Starmer leave office??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Resigns mit 99% (Stand: 4. August 2026).
- Wann wird How will Keir Starmer leave office? entschieden?
- How will Keir Starmer leave office? soll am 3. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How will Keir Starmer leave office? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.