Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose6.40 or greater 32.6%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet16. Sept. 25, 00:26 UTC2. Jan. 40, 01:26 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?
Manifold MarketsHow low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?
Manifold Markets2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiNFL: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos (Nov 1, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Regeln
Resolves to the highest record Duplantis sets in his career (i. e. only one answer resolves YES - not every level he clears).
- Resolves in 2040 OR, if he retires earlier than that, a year after the competition he declares to be his last one (to make room for him changing his mind about retiring).
- Indoor as well as outdoor competitions count.
- Must be ratified by whichever organisation is responsible for recognizing official athletics records at the time.
