Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBelow 1:59:30 59.7%Führend unter 8 Optionen
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet16. Mai 26, 05:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
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KalshiRegeln
The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.
- Ratification can happen after the end of 2026 as long as the race itself was held before the end of 2026.
- This is a cumulative probability market, meaning all applicable answers will resolve YES, so e.g. if the WR stands at 1:59:15, both "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve YES.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Below 1:59:30 mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? entschieden?
- How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.