Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 23:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.8%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet30. Juli 25, 08:39 UTC4. Juli 76, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks in the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by the American Tricentennial, July 4, 2076.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks within the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by July 4, 2076.
- The ranking will be determined based on cumulative box office gross as reported by a reputable source such as Box Office Mojo or The Numbers.
- The film must be released by a Hollywood studio and have its primary setting and narrative centered on the American Revolution.
- Historically, films centered on the American Revolution have struggled to achieve significant box office success.
