Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 76.8%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet31. Juli 26, 10:13 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will GTA6 release on PC on the same day as it releases on Console?
Manifold MarketsRihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
PolymarketRihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketFuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves to YES if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is officially released to the public before Rihanna releases her next album.
- GTA 6: the official commercial launch date of the base game by Rockstar Games (currently scheduled for November 19, 2026).
- Closed betas, leaked builds, pre-loading, or early access do not count: the game must be commercially available for the general public to play.
- Digital-only would count.
- A regional-only or single-country release would not be sufficient: the game should be widely available across the world, although it need not be available everywhere.
- Rihanna album: this must consist predominantly of new material by Rihanna.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? entschieden?
- GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to YES if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is officially released to the public before Rihanna releases her next album.