Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.9%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet12. März 24, 11:05 UTC1. März 33, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2034?
Manifold MarketsFull VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?
Manifold MarketsFull VR Brain Computer Interface before 2031?
Manifold Marketswill OpenAI announce a brain-computer interface product by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2033.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b (this question)
