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Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
14. Aug. 25, 17:41 UTC12. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWhich minor party will enter the Riksdag next?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202
- In Sweden, the Christian Democrats (Kristdemokraterna, KD) received 5.3% of the votes in the 2022 election, which gave them 19 seats in the Riksdag.
- But now (in June 2025) they are polling below 4% so they might lose all their seats in the next election in 2026.
- Will they recover?
- This resolves YES if the Christian Democrats get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
- This resolves NO if the Christian Democrats do not get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? entschieden?
- Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? soll am 12. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202