Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 97.3%
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juni 23, 17:31 UTC24. Mai 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Manifold MarketsWill Lex Fridman ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Top forecasters speculate that despite verification from the site admins, @LexFridman may not be the real Lex Fridman.
- This market will not resolve until DEFINITIVE proof emerges.
- Such proof would need to originate from an official channel, such as confirmation on Lex's twitter, podcast, etc.
Offene Märkte
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30.812 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.020,8 €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8662,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7665,7 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15.353,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 516,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 516,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 136.317,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman? entschieden?
- But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman? soll am 24. Mai 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Top forecasters speculate that despite verification from the site admins, @LexFridman may not be the real Lex Fridman.