Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2027 98.2%Führend unter 4 Optionen
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet13. Nov. 24, 11:2131. Dez. 29, 22:59
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[tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.
- Someone have any good suggestions? For now I've got this:
- If PPE or HALO is never launched, the date of that decision counts.
- If PPE and HALO are both launched, the date of the decision to never send humans there anymore counts.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Mqrius/before-when-will-sls-be-cancelled-Q00SAhqLc9)Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
- If Gateway is launched into any orbit around the moon (not just NRHO), it still counts as Gateway
Offene Märkte
Dogecoin
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his GB News interview?
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
- King99%
- Hottest99%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 49.433,6 €
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- 49.433,6 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Fraud+51.0pt99%
- Crypto / Bitcoin99%
- Kamala99%
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KALSHIWhat will Tesla say during the Cybercab Launch?
- Event does not qualify88%
- Flood / Flooding39%
- AI437%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 30.429,3 €
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KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- Tunnel to Towers-2.0pt84%
- NYPD / FDNY+3.0pt82%
- Venezuela+8.0pt53%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention?
- Democrat+1.0pt96%
- Fake News92%
- Biden-1.0pt92%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90.075,7 €
KALSHIWhat companies will Trump say in September?
- ExxonMobil / XOM+28.0pt99%
- Chevron / CVX+5.0pt99%
- Apple / AAPL99%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2027 mit 98% (Stand: 3. September 2026).
- Wann wird Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? entschieden?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: [tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.