Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.6%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet4. Jan. 26, 01:12 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Apple releases a touchscreen Macbook by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMacBook base model price on Black Friday
KalshiDoes GPT-5.2 use a different base model than GPT-5.1?
Manifold MarketsApple releases more than 3 VR / AR headsets before 2031
Manifold MarketsApple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES iff Apple releases a base model iPhone 18 by December 31st, 2026.
- Must be available to purchase by at least some members of the public.
- Release of an iPhone 18 Pro or iPhone 18 Max models (or other variants other than the base model) will NOT suffice for this market to resolve YES.
