Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

One-OffSociety & Culture3Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 95.2%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden

Veraltet

22. Sept. 22, 18:44 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.

Please help me improve the resolution criteria:
For the year 2025, more than half of funding rounds giving away more than 100k in total will have forecasting questions or prediction markets on whether grants will be given or if grant goals will be met.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

One-OffSociety & Culture3Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 95.2%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden

Veraltet

22. Sept. 22, 18:44 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.

Please help me improve the resolution criteria:
For the year 2025, more than half of funding rounds giving away more than 100k in total will have forecasting questions or prediction markets on whether grants will be given or if grant goals will be met.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.?: Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met. entschieden?: Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met. soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met. abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

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