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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet28. Dez. 25, 11:31 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurMovie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiJoe Marsh out as T1 CEO by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- Description of this prediction from the article:
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 85.328,8 €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 184.920,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.212,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.302,3 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI. entschieden?
- 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI. soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI. abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".