Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 71.5%
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4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet1. Aug. 26, 16:23 UTC2. Nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨
Manifold MarketsWill there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
Manifold MarketsWill the record for largest cabbage be broken before 2027?
Manifold MarketsPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItWill Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).
- If the 2026 average is < 54.6%, the market resolves NO.
- The "Woke Vibe" Index Criteria
- The index is composed of 5 specific metrics from Gallup and PRRI.
- Each metric measures a different facet of "woke" culture (Gender, Race, Corporate/Economic Values).
- The Trans Acceptance Rebound
Offene Märkte
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 586.176 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 568.367,7 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 108.240,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 108.240,4 €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ entschieden?
- 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ soll am 2. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).