KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: At least 15% (99%)
Entschieden: 19.09.2026, 15:36
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
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Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 19.09.2026, 15:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
At least 21%2%
At least 23%3%
At least 25%1%
At least 28%1%
At least 15%99%
At least 17%89%
At least 19%1%
At least 20%4%
At least 22%5%
At least 18%3%
At least 15%Gewonnen
At least 17%Verloren
At least 22%Verloren
At least 20%Verloren
At least 18%Verloren
At least 23%Verloren
At least 21%Verloren
At least 19%Verloren
At least 25%Verloren
At least 28%Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
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If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Swedish Election Authority
- The percentage is the share of the vote received by the Sweden Democrats in the election to the Riksdag.
- It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution uses Valmyndigheten's final certified result, NOT the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Votes cast in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Invalid, spoiled, blank and rejected ballots are excluded from the denominator
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 17% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.