KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertVom Anbieter Markt für Markt abgerechnet
Entschieden: 30.09.2026, 18:38
Dieses Ereignis hat keinen einzelnen Gewinner. Der Anbieter hat jeden Markt einzeln abgerechnet; jeder Markt zeigt sein eigenes Ergebnis.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.09.2026, 18:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
At least 5%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 13%1%
At least 11%1%
At least 5%Verloren
At least 7%Verloren
At least 9%Verloren
At least 11%Verloren
At least 13%Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
