KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 44% 95%Führend unter 9 Optionen
At least 44% 95%Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
893,1 €
Open Interest
882 €
Niedriges Open InterestSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
28. Sept. 26, 15:30 UTC3. Nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent
KalshiAlaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiIdaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent
KalshiUT-01 House election: Jesse West vote percent
KalshiLA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiCA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent
KalshiRegeln
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Scott Wiener ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
