Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffChina5Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
United Kingdom 82%+8.0ptFührend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8632,4 €
Liquidität
7790,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
13. Sept. 26, 23:00 UTC18. Feb. 27, 20:55 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
FutuurRegeln
If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- For this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data.
- Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.
- Values will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding.
- Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership.
- For row matching, “the named outcome” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “the named outcome” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”
Offene Märkte
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 436.064,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.938,3 €
KALSHISOFR for September 17, 2026
- 3.66% or Above94.3%
- Exactly 3.63%0.9%
- Exactly 3.62%0.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22.438,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.438,9 €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.5pt9%
- Below 4.73%+4.2pt7%
- Below 4.51%+0.3pt3%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.354,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7405,1 €
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-3.0pt33%
- Below 5.21%+2.0pt17%
- Below 5.18%+4.5pt11%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 5.30%+3.3pt100%
- 5.33%+27.5pt100%
- 5.36%+49.6pt100%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet United Kingdom mit 82% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? entschieden?
- Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? soll am 18. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.