KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above -0.5% 98%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6697,1 €
Liquidität
10.179,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 19:00 UTC18. Sept. 26, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegeln
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
Abwicklung über:The Conference Board
- -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
- The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Above -0.5% liegt bei 98%. Die Kurse liegen rund 1 Prozentpunkt auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Above -0.5% 98% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $50,97599%
- At least $51,05098%
- At least $51,12598%
+54 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 48.370,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 48.344,9 €
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-5.0pt45%
- 8,200 or above-4.4pt20%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.80%+3.0pt99%
- Above 6.78%+1.0pt99%
- Above 6.77%+2.0pt99%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt73%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt64%
- Above $5.00+1.0pt41%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7928 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7928 €
KALSHIBank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Maintains rate+1.0pt60.2%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt34.3%
- Hike >25bps+3.0pt3.7%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Sweden rate decision in September
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
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- Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Kalshi bewertet Above -0.5% mit 98% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird US Leading Economic Index change in August entschieden?
- US Leading Economic Index change in August soll am 18. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US Leading Economic Index change in August abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
- Wo wird US Leading Economic Index change in August außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.