KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 56%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.396,4 €
Liquidität
6821,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
22. Sept. 26, 20:00 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Vatican State stop its diplomatic relationship with Taiwan and establish one with China before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
KalshiXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRegeln
If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A qualifying mechanism must be a government-to-government arrangement for notifying the other government about relevant AI incidents; general AI dialogue, shared principles, safety cooperation, or a general hotline without the incident-notification function does not satisfy this topic.
- The mechanism must be expressly described in an official government announcement, agreement text, or qualifying Source Agency report as covering AI incidents with national-security implications.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+0.4pt100%
- October 31+0.1pt100%
- September 24+0.3pt100%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 280.167,9 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- China (5+ times)-19.0pt56%
- Peace47%
- Melania+12.0pt39%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 103.787,7 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 56.008,5 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+1.0pt91.9%
- Moonshot-0.8pt5%
- Z.ai1%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 31.194,4 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- 23°C+35.5pt55.2%
- 24°C-0.5pt20%
- 25°C-11.0pt12.4%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Taipei Mayor Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- China PR vs Maldives
- How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- AI bubble burst by which date?
- Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- VALORANT Champions 2026: Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 56% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? entschieden?
- Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.