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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wirtschaft
  3. Unemployment in May 2026
Unemployment in May 2026

Unemployment in May 2026

4.0% (24h)WirtschaftOne-Off
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 4.2% (76%)

Entschieden: 05.06.2026, 14:13

Gewinnausgang

Above 4.2%

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

71%

Konsens
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 4.2%
Above 4.2% 76%+4.0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat

36 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

496,9 €

Liquidität

1506,8 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

73.0% / 80.0%

Spread

9.6%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Tagen

Veraltet
8. Mai 26, 19:005. Juni 26, 12:29

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Above 4.1%95%
Above 4.4%8%
Above 4.3%45%
Above 4.0%99%
Above 4.2%70%
Above 4.5%1%
0%25%50%75%100%3. Juni4. Juni5. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Above 4.2%
Above 4.2%
+4.0%
76%
Above 4.1%
Above 4.1%
+3.0%
98%
Above 4.4%
Above 4.4%
+4.0%
8%
Above 4.3%
Above 4.3%
+9.0%
45%
Above 4.8%
Above 4.8%
+1.0%
4%
Above 4.5%
Above 4.5%
-1.0%
1%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Unemployment in June

Unemployment in June

38,3 €
Above 4.1%: 89%KalshiKALSHI
Unemployment in November

Unemployment in November

10,6 €
Above 4.5%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
Unemployment in October

Unemployment in October

2,4 €
Above 4.6%: 17%KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

1828,2 €
Ja: 18%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

710 €
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,3 €
Ja: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,183.63+0.70%EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.26%SolanaSOL$68.22+1.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882-3.82%XRPXRP$1.15+0.83%BNBBNB$608.39-0.14%

Regeln

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.