KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
800,000 or more · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
800,000 or more 11%Führend unter 6 Optionen
800,000 or more 11%Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
1525,1 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
800,000 or moreSpread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 52 Minuten
Verzogert1. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 800,000 or more
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
KalshiWill the PBD Podcast reach 10 million subscribers this year?
KalshiWill Javadoodles reach 3 million subscribers on Youtube by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiEbenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRegeln
If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 800000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:TwitchTwitchTrackerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalTechCrunchThe VergePolygonKotaku
- Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 800,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 800000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 600,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,100,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1100000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,200,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1200000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 700,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 700000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,000,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1000000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.