KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
600,000 or more 12%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1316,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
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KalshiWill my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker banned from Twitch
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan be banned for more than 14 days from twitch by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?
KalshiRegeln
If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:TwitchTwitchTrackerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalTechCrunchThe VergeKotaku
- Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting.
- Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included.
- Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included.
- Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered.
- If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year??
- Kalshi bewertet 600,000 or more mit 12% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? entschieden?
- How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many Twitch subscribers will KaiCenat reach this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.