KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Transgender (99%)
Entschieden: 10.09.2026, 04:41
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 10.09.2026, 13:37 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Transgender93%
NATO0%
Rigged Election1%
Event does not qualify2%
Barack Hussein Obama47%
Biden87%
America First1%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat82%
Israel / Israeli1%
Healthcare84%
Kamala1%
Drill Baby Drill1%
Fentanyl66%
Venezuela83%
Fraud99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Nobel0%
Mental Institution1%
Scholarship1%
DEI / Woke53%
Ballroom50%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement1%
Windmill0%
Landslide75%
Communist / Communism83%
China / Chinese75%
Save America Act0%
Space Force43%
Cheat / Cheated / Cheater59%
Supreme Court63%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline75%
Sanctuary1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability86%
Radical Left86%
MAGA / Make America Great Again75%
TransgenderGewonnen
Barack Hussein ObamaVerloren
BidenVerloren
Dumbocrat / DumacratVerloren
HealthcareVerloren
FentanylVerloren
VenezuelaVerloren
FraudVerloren
DEI / WokeVerloren
BallroomVerloren
LandslideVerloren
Communist / CommunismVerloren
China / ChineseVerloren
Save America ActVerloren
Space ForceVerloren
Cheat / Cheated / CheaterVerloren
Supreme CourtVerloren
Oil / Gas / GasolineVerloren
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityVerloren
Radical LeftVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will Trump say in October?
PolymarketWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1) using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1) will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.