KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 10 91%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
175,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC15. Dez. 26, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich Iowa congressional districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
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PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections.
- That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts.
- A district counts only if the candidate elected there is the nominee of the Democratic Party.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs.
- A candidate elected as an independent or without a party nomination does NOT count, whether or not they caucus with the Democrats.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 10 mit 91% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? entschieden?
- How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? soll am 15. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.