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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Top AI model this month
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

2.0% (24h)KI
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)

Entschieden: 31.05.2026, 23:39

Gewinnausgang

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

96%

Konsens
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+2.0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat

48 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

87,5 €

Liquidität

4929 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 100.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 12 Tagen

Veraltet
30. Apr. 26, 17:0031. Mai 26, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

claude-opus-4-6-thinking97%
claude-opus-4-61%
0%25%50%75%100%29. Mai30. Mai31. Mai
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
+2.0%
99%
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6
-1.0%
1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
1%
gpt-5.5-high
gpt-5.5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
1%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Top AI model this week

Top AI model this week

13,5 €
gemini-3.1-pro-preview: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

0 €
claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

173.673 €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

56.360 €
<30%: 0.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

50.982,4 €
December: 48%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

47.321,3 €
Ja: 97.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,067.77+0.36%EthereumETH$1,676.67+0.50%SolanaSOL$68.21+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.0878-0.08%BNBBNB$608.09+0.23%XRPXRP$1.15+1.21%

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Regeln

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.