KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührDieser Markt wurde entschieden: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)
Entschieden: 30.05.2026, 15:50
Gewinnausgang
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
7 Tage vorher
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24 Stunden vorher
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Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeitclaude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+19.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
428,9 €
Liquidität
550,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Tagen
Veraltet23. Mai 26, 17:0030. Mai 26, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
claude-opus-4-6-thinking99%
claude-opus-4-61%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview1%
gpt-5.5-high1%
claude-opus-4-71%
gemini-3-pro1%
muse-spark1%
ernie-5.1-preview1%
qwen3.5-max-preview1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
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If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.