KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2030 38%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
653,8 €
Liquidität
124.501,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.9 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
7. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
KalshiWill the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Manifold Marketswill the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the U.S. State Department
- Advisories dated for future events must be effective the named outcome to qualify.
- The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
- A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
- A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt98%
- October 31-2.2pt96%
- September 30-1.4pt94%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 969.769,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43.916,3 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No89.1%
- Yes10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.841,1 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 23.323 €
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- France+15.9pt100%
- Puerto Rico/China-15.9pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22.957,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.939,2 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.562,8 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- 32°C+24.5pt49.5%
- 31°C-16.5pt37.1%
- 30°C-5.5pt5.7%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2030 mit 38% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? entschieden?
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.