KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Centre Party 38.4%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
292,5 €
Liquidität
11.033,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC13. Sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the named outcome finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Swedish Election Authority
- For proportional representation systems, 4th place is determined by the party list order as specified by the electoral authority's final seat allocation.
- The party awarded the 4th-highest number of Riksdag seats in Valmyndigheten's final, certified distribution of mandates (mandatfördelning) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share.
- Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Seats won in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count A party awarded no seats cannot place 4th If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 4th-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO
- In case of an exact tie for 4th place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place?
- Kalshi bewertet Centre Party mit 38% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place entschieden?
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place soll am 13. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.