KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic party 51.5%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
8,1 €
Liquidität
204,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
46.0% / 52.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
16. Apr. 26, 14:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the the named outcome wins the Arizona State House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Times
- Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State House is sat for the session following the election.
- If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 831.213,8 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 187,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 495.422,9 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 864.163,4 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Arizona State House winner??
- Kalshi bewertet Democratic party mit 51% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Arizona State House winner? entschieden?
- Arizona State House winner? soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Arizona State House winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the the named outcome wins the Arizona State House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.