KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 3.85% 36.6%-14.0ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
183,6 €
Liquidität
1569,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
18. Sept. 26, 12:45 UTC21. Sept. 26, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 18, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 459.601,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8636,3 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.3% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.147,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1839,2 €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für SOFR for September 18, 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Exactly 3.85% mit 37% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird SOFR for September 18, 2026 entschieden?
- SOFR for September 18, 2026 soll am 21. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird SOFR for September 18, 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.