KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
5.3% or above 99%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1839,2 €
Liquidität
20.790,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
17. Sept. 26, 23:45 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiWill the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Offene Märkte
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 459.601,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8636,3 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5% or above99%
- 5.01% or above99%
- 5.02% or above+5.0pt96%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12.701 €
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet 5.3% or above mit 99% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? entschieden?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.