KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 3.00% 99%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3941,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
25. Juni 26, 21:00 UTC4. Jan. 27, 12:55 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 389.528,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 24.398,7 €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7616,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7615,1 €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.91% or above99%
- 4.81% or above99%
- 4.83% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4632,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4544,7 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+18.1pt100%
- 4.88%+58.0pt100%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3592,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3591,7 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%93%
- 5.45%-4.5pt76%
- 5.70%+32.0pt55%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für SOFR at end of Q4 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 3.00% mit 99% (Stand: 16. September 2026).
- Wann wird SOFR at end of Q4 2026 entschieden?
- SOFR at end of Q4 2026 soll am 4. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird SOFR at end of Q4 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.