KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 3.25% 98%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2388,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
93.0% / 97.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
25. Juni 26, 21:004. Jan. 27, 12:55
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 3.00%81%
Volumentrend
$504. Juli16T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.75%: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.20%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 28, 2026?
22.766,5 €4.84% or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,6 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
219,7 €Ja: 76.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSU.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
111,9 €Ja: 50.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.