KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
3.91% or Above 55.8%Führend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
3.91% or Above 55.8%Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
10.735,8 €
Open Interest
9498,8 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
12.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 13:45 UTC1. Okt. 26, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiSOFR at end of Q4 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 30, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 30, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.