KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
4.76% or above 97%Führend unter 15 Optionen
4.76% or above 97%Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
220,4 €
Open Interest
176,3 €
Niedriges Open InterestSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 19:30 UTC1. Okt. 26, 19:30 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 1h (unverbindliche Angabe)
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 2, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 1, 2026, or one week following Oct 1, 2026.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.86% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.