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Daten vom 07.11.2026, 17:11 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Between 49 and 55 million · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3591 €
Open Interest
6882,4 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Between 49 and 55 millionSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 54 Minuten
Verzogert1. Sept. 26, 18:00 UTC4. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Between 49 and 55 million
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Alaska Department of Fish and Game
- The relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run. Only ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used. If ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, "projected total catch plus projected total escapement", will be used.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Between 49 and 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 49 million and 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 43 and 48.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 43 million and 48.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 29 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is below 29 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 37 and 42.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 37 million and 42.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 29 and 36.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 29 million and 36.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.