Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Oct 1, 2026 64%+1.0%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
7,3 €
Liquidität
26,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
66.0% / 67.0%
Spread
1.5%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
29. Juni 26, 16:321. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Oct 1, 202664%
Verwandte Märkte
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
2688,9 €PSD: 47%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Early elections in the UK announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2,7 €Benjamin Netanyahu: 41%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next government of the United Kingdom?
2,6 €Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
2472,7 €Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
135,4 €Yair Lapid: 2.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.NewsColorado primaries spotlight risk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 93.5%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto NewsRegeln
If Serbia officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
- The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
- The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
- Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
- Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.