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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?
What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?

What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?

24.0% (24h)Politik
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Hormuz (99%)

Entschieden: 02.06.2026, 18:33

Gewinnausgang

Hormuz

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

—

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Trump (5+ times)
Trump (5+ times) 1%-24.0%
Führend unter 20 Optionen
Marktqualitat

56 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

2701,2 €

Liquidität

2596 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 1.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen

Veraltet
26. Mai 26, 23:0017. Juni 26, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Trump (5+ times)1%
Democrat1%
Event does not qualify1%
Hormuz99%
Tariff1%
Board of Peace22%
Climate1%
2028 / Campaign1%
Palestine / Gaza 99%
Embassy72%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Israel / Israeli84%
NATO75%
Nuclear99%
Cuba / Cuban99%
China / Chinese99%
Ukraine75%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
Ceasefire99%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
0%25%50%75%100%2. Juni2. Juni2. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Trump (5+ times)
Trump (5+ times)
-24.0%
1%
Democrat
Democrat
-40.0%
1%
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
-3.0%
1%
Hormuz
Hormuz
+20.0%
99%
Tariff
Tariff
-42.0%
1%
Board of Peace
Board of Peace
+62.0%
99%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$64,098.02+0.93%EthereumETH$1,680.44+0.76%SolanaSOL$67.92+1.48%

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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

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Next French Presidential Election

934.283,9 €
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

855.682,5 €
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9304,2 €
Ja: 17.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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9235,8 €
Democratic Party: 92.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+0.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.0885+1.68%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsTrump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.NewsHouse GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraphCrypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.NewsCrypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Regeln

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.