KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
2.5°C to 2.9°C · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
2.5°C to 2.9°C 64.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
2.5°C to 2.9°C 64.5%Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3294,1 €
Open Interest
40.976,6 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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2.5°C to 2.9°CSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
24. Juni 26, 23:00 UTC15. Aug. 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 2.5°C to 2.9°C
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
KalshiWill this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PolymarketWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PolymarketHow warm will El Niño get? Highest weekly Niño 3.4 anomaly published by NOAA CPC for the weeks of Oct 21 – Nov 11, 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:NOAA Climate Prediction Center
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary). For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value. The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period. However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 2.5°C to 2.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3.0°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is at least 3.0°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2.0°C to 2.4°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.0 and 2.4°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 1.5°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is below 1.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.5°C to 1.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 1.5 and 1.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.