What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
6.0 Pkt. (24h)WeatherOne-Off11Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 3.0°C 48.1%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
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59 / 100
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20,7 €
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23.716,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
24. Juni 26, 23:00 UTC15. Aug. 27, 14:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiWhat will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:NOAA Climate Prediction Center
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary).
- For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value.
- The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period.
- However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 1.5 and 1.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 3.0°C mit 48% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? entschieden?
- What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? soll am 15. August 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.